GROSS WORKER FLOWS ESTIMATION AT EUROPEAN LEVEL

Dr. Cristina LINKARU

National Scientific Research Institute for Labor and Social Protection – INCSMPS, Bucharest, Povernei 6-8, Bucharest, Sector 1, Romania, 010643 Romania, Telephone(s) +40-21-3124069/3172431, Fax(es) +40-21-3127595, cristina.lincaru@yahoo.de

Dr. Vasilica Ciucă

silviaciuca@incsmps.ro

Mat. Draga ATANASIU

incsmps1@incsmps.ro

Dr. Cătălin GHINARARU

ghinararu@incsmps.ro

Dr. Gabriela TUDOSE

gabriela_tudose@yahoo.com

Liliana GRECU

grecu_liliana@yahoo.com

Abstract

The European single market makes progress in view to become a single economic area. This process induces some tendencies regarding the crystallizing of the European single labour market. Following the first stage of our model (presented in detail in a previous article), based on OECD Employment Outlook 2009 and 2010 methodology consistent with Davis and Haltiwanger (1999) we use the “employment by time since job started” using EUROSTAT indicators provided in quarterly data as proxy for “employment by job tenure” indicator in view to calculate the annual hiring flows (number of hiring into an year). This method could be applied under some characteristics like: age groups (15-64 years, 15-24 years, 25-49 years, 50-64 years), gender (total, masculine, feminine), citizenship (citizen, non citizen based on lfsa_etpga Eurostat indicator). Our analysis is focused on the quantitative estimation of the labour force circulation at UE27 level, measured through the quantification of the individual labour contracts; contracts closed between noncitizen workers with an employer located in the European  host state (different state from the worker state origin), regardless the negotiation process, employment process, the level of negotiated salaries. We assume that the working contract closing/initiating is equivalent with the “hiring” event and its ending is equivalent with “separation”. Our main result is represented by the total non citizen worker flows estimation at European aggregate level as a measure of European single market development.

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